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Member Since: Sat May 17, 2008
In Reply To

Member Since: Sat Feb 25, 2017
Subj: Re: US out of the Iran nuclear deal
Posted: Fri May 11, 2018 at 09:25:55 am CDT (Viewed 834 times)
Reply Subj: Re: US out of the Iran nuclear deal
Posted: Thu May 10, 2018 at 10:48:49 pm CDT (Viewed 766 times)

    1 - There seems to be credible evidence that Iran has been allowed to self inspect in Parchin, which is absolutely ridiculous.

No, this is White House spin:

    2 - The whole deal was based on Iran being completely up front and honest about their nuclear program. It seems they were not, which violates conditions which were necessary for entering into the deal.

These were minor infractions and by all reports, Iran is complying now.

    3 - Although Germany, the UK and France were against the US exiting the deal, those nations geographically closer to Iran are happy to see the deal ended. Bahrain, UAE, Israel, and Saudi Arabia for example. The leaders of those countries, who likely know Iran better than Emmanuel Macron, think the deal left Iran as a danger to the region. They praised Trump for ending what they considered a weak deal, and would prefer to see US sanctions restored.

You are aware that some Sunni and Shia countries have immense hatred toward each other and have been jostling for power in the region for decades, right? UAE and Saudi Arabia are two such Sunni countries, and while Bahrain has a Shia majority, it's been a monarchy run by Sunnis forever and they are directly threatened by Iran's Shias fomenting Bahrain's own Shias to rebel. Likewise, Israel feels highly threatened by Iran. Any deal that makes Iran closer to the world's greatest powers, all of whom were involved in the deal, these countries would hate.

    4 - The fact that the sunset clause eventually allows Iran to continue their nuclear program has some concerned that it will lead to other nations in the region racing to start nuclear programs of their own to prepare for an eventual nuclear Iran.

Iran has been pursuing nuclear weapons for a long time now. If it hasn't started a nuclear arms race before now, there's no reason to think it will do so now. Also, if Iran prefers the lack of sanctions to nuclear weapons now, there's little reason to believe they would continue the deal after the 10-15 years in order not to have the sanctions reimposed.

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